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PJT Partners Inc. (PJT)·Q3 2015 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2015 Total Revenues were $147.3M, up 85% year over year, driven by significant advisory fee realizations; GAAP Net Income was $41.9M and Adjusted Net Income was $47.3M .
- Adjusted Pretax Income reached $49.1M vs $2.7M in Q3 2014; adjusted pretax margin was 33% vs 3% a year ago, reflecting stronger fees and contained compensation ratio at 46% of revenues .
- Management guided Q4 2015 Total Revenues to “exceed $100M” but be below Q4 2014’s $149M; they expect Park Hill and Restructuring to be up in 2016 and total company revenues to grow in 2016 vs 2015 .
- Transition-related non-recurring costs weighed on non-comp expenses; ~$10M of the ~$12M year-to-date one-offs hit Q3, but are “largely behind” post spin-off (Oct 1) .
- Cash at quarter-end was $21.7M (press release) and ~$22M (call) with no debt; management intends to commence a dividend after Q4 results, with payout to holders of record in Q1 2016 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong advisory execution: Advisory Fees rose to $116.2M from $53.4M (+118% YoY) on “significant fee realizations” from M&A transactions closing in the quarter .
- Margin expansion: Adjusted pretax margin improved to 33% in Q3 from 3% a year ago; adjusted compensation ratio held at 46% of revenues despite growth .
- Strategic momentum: “More than 20 joint projects” across Strategic Advisory, Restructuring, and Park Hill; examples include Park Hill-originated mandates leading to successful M&A outcomes (Taubman) .
What Went Wrong
- Elevated non-comp costs: Adjusted non-comp expense jumped to $29.8M vs $15.9M YoY due to spin-off-related duplicate rents, legal/pro fees, consultants, and IT build-out; ~$10M of ~$12M YTD one-offs concentrated in Q3 .
- Q4 outlook below prior year: Guidance indicates Q4 revenues “> $100M” but below Q4 2014’s $149M, tempering near-term growth optics .
- Estimates visibility: Formal consensus EPS/revenue estimates via S&P Global were unavailable to assess beat/miss; management noted it’s “too early” to translate momentum into precise 2016 advisory revenues .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results (YoY)
Margins and Expense Ratios
Segment Breakdown
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Note: Adjusted vs GAAP reconciliations reflect add-backs of Blackstone IPO-related equity compensation and intangible amortization; depreciation/amortization and transaction-related comp adjustments detailed in reconciliation tables .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “PJT Partners brings together three best-in-class franchises – Strategic Advisory, Restructuring and Park Hill… creating a premier advisory-focused investment bank” (Taubman) .
- “Total revenues in the third quarter were $147 million… up 85% versus the same period last year” (Meates) .
- “We expect Q4 2015 revenues to exceed $100 million but be below last year’s Q4 revenues of $149 million” (Taubman) .
- “We intend to commence paying a dividend after the fourth quarter results… payable to holders of record in the first quarter of 2016” (Meates) .
- “Our advisory business is not dependent on the M&A cycle… we can grow even if the overall market does not” (Taubman) .
Q&A Highlights
- The accessible transcript excerpts end prior to the Q&A session; Q&A content was not available due to document retrieval limitations. Key pre-Q&A clarifications included Q4 revenue guidance (> $100M and < $149M prior year), 2016 segment outlook (Park Hill and Restructuring up YoY), and capital return policy (dividend initiation; buybacks prioritized after talent) .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus for Q3 2015 EPS and Revenue via S&P Global was unavailable due to data access limits, so beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed at this time. Management emphasized strong advisory fee realizations driving the quarter and provided Q4 revenue guidance and 2016 directional outlook .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue inflection: Q3 delivered $147.3M (+85% YoY) on significant advisory realizations; margin structure improved materially with adjusted pretax margin at 33% .
- Near-term moderation: Q4 revenue guide “> $100M” but below $149M last year suggests sequential normalization after a strong Q3; watch advisory close cadence .
- 2016 setup constructive: Park Hill and Restructuring expected up; firm-level growth expected in 2016 vs 2015, with advisory market share gains central to thesis .
- One-time cost roll-off: ~$10M Q3 spin-related expenses are “largely behind,” supporting cleaner non-comp run-rate from Q4 onward .
- Capital return: Dividend initiation post Q4 with nominal near-term payout; buybacks positioned as secondary but meaningful after talent investment .
- Balance sheet flexibility: $21.7M cash and no debt affords optionality for talent hiring and selective share repurchases .
- Monitor disclosures: Expect fuller tax framework, balance sheet adjustments (goodwill, intangibles, deferred tax asset) and dividend specifics with Q4 results .